Archive

Briefings, frameworks, and market notes.

A running index of ArkenYield Research across stablecoin yield, liquidity structure, institutional credit, and the policy regime shaping capital allocation.

Stablecoin Weekly: TradFi Underwrites the Stack
Weekly BriefingStablecoin Report

Stablecoin Weekly: TradFi Underwrites the Stack

By ArkenYield

Institutional and TradFi money committed to the credit-backed layer this week: Morpho closed DeFi's largest raise with Apollo and VanEck, a $480B manager put tokenized AAA credit behind Ethena's dollar, and the sponsor-backed preferred complex convalesced but drew no new capital.

June 2026

The serious money this week went to on-chain credit and fully-reserved dollars, not to dollars built on a single company's stock.

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Stablecoin Weekly: What Backs the Dollar
Weekly BriefingStablecoin Report

Stablecoin Weekly: What Backs the Dollar

By ArkenYield

As markets gave up on June rate cuts and crypto sold off, the on-chain dollar market split by what backs it: tokens built on volatile assets broke their pegs while cash-backed dollars held, and the payment rails kept advancing as Mastercard moved to settle six stablecoins across eight chains.

June 2026

Rising rates and a crypto selloff split the on-chain dollar market by what backs it. The dollars built on volatile, sponsor-linked assets broke their pegs; the dollars backed by cash and Treasuries held their pegs and their yields, and the payment rails kept building through it. When cash out-yields the chain, what a dollar holds in reserve is what decides whether its yield survives.

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Stablecoin Weekly: Distribution Doesn't Wait
Weekly BriefingStablecoin Report

Stablecoin Weekly: Distribution Doesn't Wait

By ArkenYield

With Washington on Memorial Day recess and the SEC retreating on tokenized stocks, the distribution layer shipped at scale: a national-bank stablecoin, Cash App's 60M users, and Circle's 190-country payout network, even as supply rolled over off its record and yield fell below T-bills.

May 2026

Last week the federal plumbing that connects issuers to the dollar got renegotiated. This week Washington went on recess, and the distribution layer did not wait for it: banks, fintechs, and payment networks pushed regulated dollars to tens of millions of users while aggregate supply quietly rolled over off its record.

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Stablecoin Weekly: The Rails Get Renegotiated
Weekly BriefingStablecoin Report

Stablecoin Weekly: The Rails Get Renegotiated

By ArkenYield

A Trump executive order, a Federal Reserve Payment Account proposal, and Kevin Warsh's swearing-in landed inside three days and together rewrote how stablecoin issuers connect to the dollar payment system, while CLARITY stalled in the Senate, the SEC moved toward a tokenized-stock innovation exemption, Aave deepened on Ethena and broke the savings-rate floor with sGHO, and a mint-multisig compromise produced the year's first material euro-stable depeg.

May 2026

Last week the float moved to the venue. This week the federal plumbing that connects issuers to the dollar moved, too: an executive order, a Federal Reserve proposal, and a new Fed chair, all inside three days.

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Stablecoin Weekly: The Float Moves to the Venue
Weekly BriefingStablecoin Report

Stablecoin Weekly: The Float Moves to the Venue

By ArkenYield

CLARITY cleared Senate Banking 15-9 in the same week a stablecoin skeptic took the Fed and the Hyperliquid deal proved a trading venue can capture roughly 90% of the reserve income on its USDC balances — the legitimacy question is closing while the value-capture question cracks open.

May 2026

The week's three events rhyme. The legislative framework that legitimizes the operating model took its biggest step, the economics of the model got contested at the float, and monetary leadership turned skeptical. The fight moved from legitimacy to economics.

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From Private to Public, On-Chain: What the Cerebras Listing Proves About Hyperliquid
Research NoteMarket Structure

From Private to Public, On-Chain: What the Cerebras Listing Proves About Hyperliquid

By ArkenYield

Cerebras became the first company whose pre-IPO perpetual traded on Hyperliquid and then graduated to an actual Nasdaq listing. The full private-to-public equity lifecycle now runs on-chain, and that says more about where institutional market infrastructure is heading than the trade itself does.

May 2026

A pre-IPO perpetual is a price-discovery venue for private fair value. An IPO is a price-discovery event for public demand. The Cerebras listing showed they are not the same number.

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Stablecoin Weekly: The Operating Model Goes Live
Weekly BriefingStablecoin Report

Stablecoin Weekly: The Operating Model Goes Live

By ArkenYield

Stablecoin payment rails moved from announcement into operation across multiple counterparties in the same week the bank lobby and the ECB formally hardened their positions against the operating model, and the Aave rsETH recovery cleared its final legal hurdles.

May 2026

The week made the operating model legible. Multiple rails moved from announcement to operational, the bank lobby and the ECB formally moved against them, and the Aave rsETH recovery effectively closed.

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Stablecoin Weekly: The Payments Crossover
Weekly BriefingStablecoin Report

Stablecoin Weekly: The Payments Crossover

By ArkenYield

Four separate operators (Visa, Meta and Stripe, Walmart-backed OnePay, Western Union) announced material stablecoin rail integrations in the same week the CLARITY Act compromise scoped the yield question, while Aave shifted from emergency mode to systematic right-sizing and the new MegaETH USDe/USDM leveraged-loop economy emerged after the May 1 MEGA TGE.

May 2026

Stablecoins crossed into named-counterparty payments infrastructure. Four operators (Visa, Meta, OnePay, Western Union) announced material rail integrations as the CLARITY Act compromise text scoped the yield question in the same window.

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Stablecoin Weekly: Coordinated Recovery
Weekly BriefingStablecoin Report

Stablecoin Weekly: Coordinated Recovery

By ArkenYield

Aave's bad-debt resolution moved from open question to coordinated industry response, Ethena restructured what backs USDe, Stripe and Paradigm's Tempo crossed into named bank-and-enterprise onboarding, and yield spreads compressed back toward the tokenized-treasury base layer.

April 2026

The week's question stopped being whether the system could absorb a $200M loss event and became how it actually does, what changes structurally in the doing, and where premiums above the base layer settle once the dust clears.

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Stablecoin Weekly: Structural Risk Shows Up
Weekly BriefingStablecoin Report

Stablecoin Weekly: Structural Risk Shows Up

By ArkenYield

A cross-chain bridge exploit left real bad debt on Aave, $13B of DeFi TVL rotated out in forty-eight hours, and the parts of the stack built for legibility (tokenized treasuries, institutional rails, fiat-backed issuer growth) kept maturing through the stress.

April 2026

The week made the case for the base layer. Structural risk in pooled DeFi lending stopped being theoretical, and capital rotated toward the layers built for legibility instead of leaving.

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On-Chain Credit Pricing: Why DeFi Lending Rates Systematically Misprice Risk, and How to Build a Rigorous Risk-Adjusted Yield Model
FrameworkStrategy

On-Chain Credit Pricing: Why DeFi Lending Rates Systematically Misprice Risk, and How to Build a Rigorous Risk-Adjusted Yield Model

By ArkenYield

Displayed lending APYs on Aave and Morpho are not risk-adjusted returns. A rigorous framework prices smart contract, oracle, liquidity, bad debt, and governance risk separately before comparing yield.

March 2026

On-chain lending rates price utilisation. They do not fully price the protocol, oracle, governance, and liquidity risks embedded in the position.

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